Drug discovery and chemistry
ResearchMolecular energies are quantum problems. Accurate simulation of reaction mechanisms, binding and enzymes is limited by classical approximations. A widely studied target is the iron-molybdenum cofactor of nitrogenase, which fixes nitrogen in nature.
- How
- Phase estimation on an error-corrected machine, or VQE on small molecules today.
- Reality check
- Useful advantage is expected to need fault-tolerant hardware. Today’s demonstrations use small molecules.
Materials and batteries
ResearchElectrolytes, catalysts, magnets and high-temperature superconductors are hard because electrons interact strongly. Simulating them could guide the search for better batteries and cheaper catalysts.
- How
- Analog simulators for model Hamiltonians now, digital simulation later.
- Reality check
- Analog simulators already study idealised models. Real-material accuracy needs larger machines.
Cryptography and security
In useA large fault-tolerant machine running Shor’s algorithm would break RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography. Data stolen today can be decrypted later, so migration is already under way.
- How
- Post-quantum algorithms on classical hardware. QKD in a few high-security links.
- Reality check
- NIST plans to deprecate RSA and ECC after 2030 and disallow them from 2035.
Optimisation and logistics
PilotsRouting, scheduling, portfolio selection and supply chains are combinatorial. Annealers and QAOA are tried on them by airlines, ports, banks and manufacturers.
- How
- Encode as an Ising or QUBO problem and sample low-energy solutions.
- Reality check
- Clear advantage over strong classical solvers has not been shown for practical sizes.
Finance
ResearchPricing derivatives and measuring risk rely on Monte Carlo sampling. Amplitude estimation offers a quadratic reduction in the number of samples needed for a given accuracy.
- How
- Amplitude estimation, quantum linear algebra, portfolio optimisation.
- Reality check
- The quadratic gain can be eaten by error-correction overhead and the cost of loading data.
AI and machine learning
ResearchIdeas include quantum kernels, variational classifiers and faster sampling for generative models. Quantum data from sensors and simulators is a more natural fit than classical images or text.
- How
- Parameterised circuits trained with classical optimisers.
- Reality check
- Loading large classical datasets into qubits is a bottleneck, and many proposed speedups have been matched by classical methods.
Energy and climate
ResearchFertiliser production by the Haber–Bosch process consumes on the order of one to two percent of the world’s energy. Better catalysts, carbon-capture materials and fusion plasma models are all quantum-simulation targets.
- How
- Quantum chemistry and materials simulation, grid optimisation.
- Reality check
- Long-term. Results depend on fault-tolerant machines.
Timing and navigation
In useAtomic clocks keep satellite navigation and telecom networks synchronised. Optical clocks are far more precise, and cold-atom accelerometers and gyroscopes can navigate when GPS is unavailable.
- How
- Ramsey interferometry on atoms, laser-cooled atom interferometers.
- Reality check
- Clocks are mature. Atom-based inertial navigation is in field trials.
Medical and brain imaging
Early commercialOptically pumped magnetometers sit in a wearable helmet and record the tiny magnetic fields of brain activity without a bulky cryogenic scanner. Diamond sensors probe single cells and molecules.
- How
- Spin-based magnetometry.
- Reality check
- Wearable magnetoencephalography is in research and early clinical use. MRI is built on nuclear spins but is run classically.
Telecom and the quantum internet
Early commercialQuantum links will secure key exchange and eventually connect quantum computers into larger distributed machines. Repeaters with quantum memories are the key missing component.
- How
- Entangled photons over fibre or satellite, entanglement swapping and teleportation.
- Reality check
- QKD links are deployed. A full entanglement-based internet is a research programme.